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Wyoming
1-1 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 1-1
Central Michigan
1-1 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2
College football Week 3 · Sat, Sep 19, 1:00 PM ET
The number
- Vegas
- Central Michigan -1.5
- total 39.5
- Our line
- Central Michigan -0.7
- total 38.2
- Raw model
- Wyoming -2.3
- Wyoming 17.7 · Central Michigan 15.4
no edge
Edge: spread 0.8 pts · total 1.3 pts · model weight 20%
Why
- 1.Our number makes it Central Michigan by 0.7; Vegas has Central Michigan by 1.5. That is a 0.8-point edge which is not enough to act on.
- 2.Power ratings: Central Michigan #125, Wyoming #103 of 137 on opponent-adjusted efficiency; SP+ anchors the early-season number.
- 3.Wyoming's run game (152 rushing yds/game, 61st in FBS) meets a Central Michigan run defense that ranks 109th in FBS (204 allowed).
- 4.Against the spread this season: Central Michigan 0-2 (0%), Wyoming 0-2.
- 5.Trust level: 20% on our numbers and 80% on the market, with 1 game of data behind the thinner side. Ratings this early are pulled toward the league average.
The trenches
Offensive line against the defensive front. Grades are ours, from where each unit ranks on these numbers.
Wyoming line vs Central Michigan front
Wyoming CCentral Michigan D
| Metric | Wyoming | Central Michigan allows |
|---|---|---|
| Line yards per carryyards the line is credited with on every run | 3.38 (#25) B | 3.58 (#123) F |
| Stuff rateruns stopped at or behind the line | 13% (#30) B | 7% (#132) F |
| Power success3rd/4th and 2 or less, converted on the ground | 0% (#127) F | 100% (#116) D |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback | 5% (#66) C | 7% (#38) B |
| Yards per carry | 4.9 (#45) B | 5.0 (#88) C |
Central Michigan line vs Wyoming front
Central Michigan CWyoming C
| Metric | Central Michigan | Wyoming allows |
|---|---|---|
| Line yards per carryyards the line is credited with on every run | 3.59 (#9) A | 2.49 (#25) B |
| Stuff rateruns stopped at or behind the line | 0% (#1) A | 21% (#40) B |
| Power success3rd/4th and 2 or less, converted on the ground | 50% (#101) D | 100% (#109) D |
| Sack ratesacks per dropback | 11% (#129) F | 0% (#121) F |
| Yards per carry | 5.0 (#39) B | 4.7 (#76) C |
Receivers vs the secondary
Each passing game against the pass defense across from it, plus the receivers’ last games.
Wyoming passing vs Central Michigan secondary
Wyoming CCentral Michigan C
| Metric | Wyoming | Central Michigan allows |
|---|---|---|
| Yards per pass play | 6.6 (#76) C | 5.5 (#29) B |
| Completion % | 63% (#61) C | 68% (#103) D |
| Explosive pass ratepasses of 16+ yards | 15% (#63) C | 11% (#35) B |
| Passing yards per game | 132 (#116) D | 148 (#24) B |
| Sack ratepressure the front gets home | 5% (#66) C | 7% (#38) B |
- Jake Wilson: 43 yds/game on 2.5 catches over the last 2 games (51, 35)
- Charlie Coenen: 23 yds/game on 2.5 catches over the last 2 games, 1 TD (12, 34)
- Markell Holman: 14 yds/game on 2.5 catches over the last 2 games (0, 27)
Central Michigan passing vs Wyoming secondary
Central Michigan FWyoming C
| Metric | Central Michigan | Wyoming allows |
|---|---|---|
| Yards per pass play | 1.1 (#137) F | 7.1 (#75) C |
| Completion % | 44% (#135) F | 71% (#113) D |
| Explosive pass ratepasses of 16+ yards | 0% (#137) F | 12% (#40) B |
| Passing yards per game | 19 (#137) F | 242 (#89) C |
| Sack ratepressure the front gets home | 11% (#129) F | 0% (#121) F |
- Vaughn Blue: 14 yds/game on 2.0 catches over the last 2 games (-1, 29)
- Justin Ruffin Jr.: 14 yds/game on 2.0 catches over the last 2 games (9, 18)
Wyoming
- Points per game
- 13.0
- allows 35.0
- last game
- 13 pts/game
- allowing 35
- Rushing
- 152 yds/game
- allows 154
- Passing
- 132 yds/game
- allows 242
QB Tyler Hughes (140 pass yds/game, 2 TD, 3 INT) · RB Samuel Harris (56 rush yds/game) · WR Eric Richardson (11 rec yds/game)
Central Michigan
- Points per game
- 7.0
- allows 38.0
- last game
- 7 pts/game
- allowing 38
- Rushing
- 146 yds/game
- allows 204
- Passing
- 19 yds/game
- allows 148
RB Vaughn Blue (26 rush yds/game) · WR Justin Ruffin Jr. (14 rec yds/game)